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AGP Executive Report

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Note: AI summary from news headlines; neutral sources weighted more to help reduce bias in the result. Feedback is welcome. Please let us know if you have any comments or suggestions about the AGP Executive Report.

Food Security & Climate: FAO reports global staple prices rose 1% in July as heatwaves, El Niño-linked risks and energy market pressures squeeze harvests and supply chains; Malawi’s hunger is improving after a better harvest, but about 1.9 million people remain acutely food insecure and could rise to 2.6 million in the lean season. Agriculture & Resilience: AGRA Malawi marks 20 years, highlighting improved crop varieties, certified seed production and trained scientists—while urging a shift from fragmented aid to more accountable, commercial farming support. Water & Climate-Smart Farming: Greenbelt Authority pushes irrigation to help farmers access bank financing, warning lenders see rain-fed farming as high risk under climate change. Land, Heritage & Sustainable Use: Vice President Enock Chihana backs cultural festivals as tourism and sustainable development platforms, with this year’s Umthetho theme tying Ngoni heritage to land preservation. Mining & Investor Confidence: Parliament hears reassurances on Kangankunde rare earth operations after concerns over blasting, stockpiling and exports—government says materials were only for approved lab testing. Health & Prevention: Thyolo faces condom and HIV test kit shortages, raising alarms about interruptions to HIV prevention services. Policy & Trade: Malawi is urged to speed up ratification of the Samoa Agreement to unlock EU funding opportunities. Youth & Education: Teen mothers in Blantyre are being supported to return to school, while Nambesa Primary School struggles with overcrowding as learners seek standard eight.

Food Prices & Climate Pressure: The UN/FAO says global staple food costs rose in July as heatwaves, El Niño effects and energy price hikes kept markets jittery, with cereals, sugar and vegetable oils climbing while hunger risks remain high. Parliament & Governance: Speaker Sameer Suleman flagged absenteeism as Parliament rose sine die, urging MPs and ministers to act on committee reports on time. Cannabis Licensing Scrutiny: The arrest of cannabis board member Ras Peter Chikomeni has exposed gaps in Malawi’s licensing and compliance system, raising fears about how farmers and entrepreneurs navigate regulation. Land, Forests & Culture: Vice President Mayemu Ansah and Enoch Chihana joined the Umthetho Festival in Mzimba under a theme linking land preservation with sustainable development. Health Supplies: Thyolo faces shortages of condoms and HIV test kits, prompting calls for tighter coordination to protect prevention services. Education Access: Nambesa Primary School learners in Chikwawa still study in makeshift spaces, while Mchinji TTC hostels remain locked over a K1.3bn payment dispute. Mining Oversight: Government says inspections found no evidence of unauthorised mining or unlawful exports at Kangankunde, after MPs raised concerns. Agriculture & Resilience: Greenbelt Authority urges farmers to shift toward irrigation so banks can finance production as rain-fed farming becomes riskier under climate change. Tourism & Wildlife: Malawi and Zambia signed minutes to jointly market destinations, develop products and strengthen wildlife conservation through a tourism roadmap.

Climate-smart farming: Israeli-supported drip irrigation and water projects are helping hundreds of farmers in Kenya’s dry Mbeere region turn drought-prone land into year-round production, boosting food security and incomes. Food security outlook: Malawi’s Vulnerability Assessment Committee projects food-insecure numbers falling to 2.6 million in 2026/27, citing better rains and higher maize output, though cities still see rising need. Agrifinance push: The Greenbelt Authority says banks are wary of rain-fed farming under climate change, urging farmers to adopt irrigation to unlock credit and reduce post-harvest losses. Hunger and prices: Global staple prices edged up in July as heatwaves, El Niño conditions and energy costs pressure markets—an added risk for Malawi’s already fragile food situation. Mining scrutiny: Parliament continues to debate rare earths at Kangankunde; government says inspections found no illegal commercial mining or unlawful export, while lawmakers warn actions could scare investors. SDG progress: Malawi ranked 139th of 167 on the SDGs index, with zero or negligible progress on poverty, clean energy and industry. Civic space: A report warns political infiltration and shrinking donor support are weakening Malawi’s watchdog civil society. Education access: In Chikwawa, Nambesa Primary School learners still study in makeshift church buildings as Standard Eight facilities remain limited, with girls at risk of dropping out.

Food security and climate pressure: Malawi’s hunger picture is improving overall, but MVAC says 2.6 million people (14%) will still need help in the 2026/27 lean season, with urban food insecurity rising 27% to 81,405 as cities feel the squeeze. Global food prices: FAO reports global staple prices edged up in July, driven by heatwaves, energy costs and El Niño-linked risks—sugar and cereals led the increases. Banking for farmers: The Greenbelt Authority tells farmers to move toward irrigation to unlock bank loans, warning lenders see rain-fed farming as too risky under climate change. SDG reality check: Malawi ranks 139th of 167 on the SDGs index, with near-zero progress on poverty, clean energy and industry—while zero hunger and clean water show gains. Rare earth mine scrutiny: Malawi’s mining minister says inspections found no evidence of illegal commercial mining or unlawful export from Kangankunde, after MPs raised concerns. EU funding risk: Malawi’s delay in ratifying the Samoa Agreement could limit access to predictable EU support. Sustainable tourism: Malawi and Zambia agree to jointly market destinations and step up wildlife conservation through a new tourism roadmap. Climate accountability push: CSOs urge Parliament to fund anticipatory climate action, including setting aside CDF for El Niño mitigation and speeding up the Climate Change Bill.

Food Security Update: Malawi’s food-insecure population is projected to fall to 2.6 million (14% of the population) in 2026/27, down from about 4 million, helped by normal-to-above-average 2025/26 rains and higher maize output—though urban hunger is rising, with Blantyre, Zomba, Lilongwe and Mzuzu seeing a 27% jump to 81,405 people. Climate & Farming Resilience: Farmers in Chikwawa are turning to affordable organic fertiliser, while Lilongwe smallholders are using agro-ecology, crop diversification and quails to cope with pests, drought risk and shifting weather. Policy & Accountability: Youths are demanding full transparency on Malawi’s public debt (K23.9 trillion) and a 12-month deadline for government to publish debt information and involve young people in decisions. Economy & Prices: The Reserve Bank of Malawi kept the policy rate at 24% as inflation eases, but non-food costs remain high—prompting warnings that businesses may still face prolonged price pressure. Climate Financing Oversight: Civil society is urging Parliament to push anticipatory climate action funding, fast-track the Climate Change Bill, and strengthen accountability for climate commitments.

Food Security: Malawi’s hunger picture is improving overall, but urban pressure is rising: MVAC shows food insecurity down 35% to 2.6m people for the 2026/27 lean season, yet urban households needing help rose 27% to 81,405, while rural cases fell 36%. Agro-ecology & Soil Health: Farmers in Lilongwe are using agro-ecology, manure and crop diversification to cope with climate shocks, and in Blantyre Rudevit has begun full production of granulated organic fertiliser from recycled waste—aiming to cut reliance on costly chemical fertiliser. Climate Resilience Crops: A new chickpea variety is being piloted across southern Africa, including Malawi, to strengthen resilience and reduce nitrogen fertiliser needs. Economy & Inflation (Environment-linked): The Reserve Bank of Malawi kept the policy rate at 24% as inflation eased to 22.9% in Q2, but non-food prices remain high due to electricity tariff increases and import costs. Biodiversity in Focus: A new assessment highlights that the African Great Lakes—home to over 25% of the world’s surface freshwater—face major extinction risks for unique species.

Freshwater Biodiversity Alarm: A new global assessment highlights that the African Great Lakes system—stretching from Victoria to Malawi and beyond—holds over 25% of the world’s surface freshwater, but many unique freshwater species are now at serious risk of extinction. Climate-Smart Farming & Food Pressure: Malawi’s smallholder farmers are falling behind as climate-driven pests and diseases slash yields; with extension workers stretched thin, AI-assisted crop surveys are being used to speed up responses. Lean Season Food Gap: Malawi is projected to need about MK124.3 billion in food assistance for 2.6 million people during the 2026/27 lean season, even after improved maize output. Healthy Diets Out of Reach: FAO data shows the cost of a healthy diet in Malawi has more than doubled since 2017, pushing many families toward cheaper, less nutritious options. Waste-to-Fertiliser Push: Rudevit has started full production of granulated organic fertiliser from recycled waste in Blantyre, aiming to cut reliance on expensive chemical fertiliser while creating jobs. Tourism Risk Cover: NICO General and Minet Malawi launched Safari Plan Insurance to protect hotels, lodges, tour operators and related businesses from material damage and other shocks. Human Trafficking Warning: Talitha Kum reports rapid growth in modern trafficking, including cyber-enabled scams, urging stronger prevention and survivor support. Regional Migration Tensions: Analysts say SADC’s 2026 summit in Durban must tackle xenophobia directly as anti-migrant violence and repatriations strain regional solidarity.

SADC & Migration: SADC’s 2026 summit in Durban is being urged to tackle rising anti-migrant sentiment directly, with writers warning that xenophobia and strained regional ties could derail plans for resilient, sustainable industrialisation. Food Security & Health: FAO says Malawi’s “healthy diet” costs have more than doubled since 2017, pricing many families out of nutritious food and deepening the nutrition emergency. Climate-Resilient Farming: A new chickpea variety is being piloted across southern Africa, promising lower nitrogen needs, better nutrition, and higher farmer incomes as cereal yields struggle. Organic Fertiliser From Waste: Rudevit has started full production of granulated organic fertiliser from recycled waste in Blantyre, aiming to cut reliance on imported chemical fertiliser while creating jobs. El Niño Preparedness: NFRA says it is building maize reserves ahead of El Niño, with procurement underway and targets set to reduce the risk of food insecurity. Tourism Risk Protection: NICO General and Minet Malawi launched Safari Plan Insurance, a tailored cover for hotels, lodges, tour operators and travel businesses facing climate and operational shocks. Rare Earths Scrutiny: Malawi’s Parliament Speaker ordered a suspension of Kangankunde rare earth mining after concerns over whether the firm’s licence matches the scale of operations. Civic Space Pressure: CSOs in Mzuzu warn shrinking civic space is polarising politics and squeezing funding, as some groups claim CSO status for political ends.

Rare Earths Oversight: Malawi’s Speaker Sameer Suleman ordered the suspension of Kangankunde rare earth mining after MPs flagged possible licensing irregularities and missing environmental documents, with further scrutiny of exports of mineral samples. Climate & Food Security: NFRA says it’s building maize reserves ahead of El Niño, targeting 217,000MT as it procures more grain and warns staff against corruption. Healthy Diet Costs: FAO reports Malawi’s cost of a healthy diet jumped from $2.38 to $5.01 per person per day (2017–2025), pricing many out of nutritious food. El Niño Warning for Africa: The AU urges countries to move from forecasts to action after scientists warn of a likely extreme El Niño that could bring droughts, floods, crop failures and disease risks. Biodiversity & Forests: A conservation analysis questions how protected areas are judged, noting scores can rise while vegetation and ecological condition decline. Mining Investment Push: Malawi’s Mining Minister Thoko Tembo calls for stronger local investing as NICO outlines capacity to back mining projects aligned with MW2063. Education & Sustainability: MUST won K78m for an organic fertilizer project, while a new infrastructure conference will focus on climate-resilient, sustainable development. Civic Space: CSOs decry shrinking civic space, warning of polarisation and funding strain. Refugee Rights & Work: Malawi’s encampment policy keeps refugees confined to Dzaleka, limiting work and trapping skilled people in dependency.

Human Trafficking Watch: Talitha Kum warns modern trafficking is evolving fast, with online scams luring victims into cross-border exploitation and cyber-enabled criminal work. Climate Risk & Food Security: Africa is on high alert for a likely strong El Niño, with AU calls for urgent preparation; Malawi’s NFRA is also building maize reserves ahead of the season. El Niño Preparedness in Malawi: NFRA says it has procured 13,967MT of maize and is targeting 217,000MT total, with anti-corruption warnings as stocks are managed. Rare Earth Mine Scrutiny: Malawi’s parliament escalates oversight of Kangankunde Rare Earths in Balaka, questioning licence scale, missing environmental documents, and exports of mineral samples. Local Governance & Resilience Funding: District councils begin receiving Local Authority Performance Assessment funding under GESD 2.0 and RCRP-2, with Dowa leading and Mchinji unlocking over K1.8bn for development and climate resilience. Sustainable Infrastructure Push: Malawi will host an Infrastructure International Conference focused on climate resilience, innovation and sustainable investment. Biodiversity & Restoration: Muizenberg Park’s fynbos revival shows how community spaces can restore wetlands and strengthen local conservation.

El Niño Alert: African governments are being urged to move fast from climate forecasts to action after scientists warned of a 90% chance of a “Super El Niño” later in 2026, with droughts, floods, food shortages and disease risks expected across the continent. Mining & Environment Oversight: Malawi MPs have ordered fresh scrutiny of the Kangankunde Rare Earths Mine after concerns over licensing, missing Environmental Impact Assessment documents, and exports of raw mineral samples for testing. Port Environmental Safeguards: Malawi has invited bids for an Environmental and Social Impact Assessment to support Chipoka Port capital dredging, aiming to revive the inland port while meeting environmental standards. Local Climate-Linked Funding: District councils have started receiving Local Authority Performance Assessment funding, including Dowa’s top performance and allocations tied to the Governance to Enable Service Delivery and Regional Climate Resilience programmes. Biodiversity Restoration: Muizenberg Park’s Fynbos Revival is restoring indigenous fynbos and wetland habitat, showing how small public spaces can boost biodiversity and community conservation. TB Case-Finding Push: Community sputum collectors in Phalombe say faster lab turnaround and new equipment are helping reduce delays in TB testing and treatment. Regional Water Governance: Mozambique, Tanzania and Malawi signed an agreement to set up the Ruvuma River Basin Commission to manage shared water resources and improve drought and flood early warning.

Local Governance & Climate Resilience: District councils have started receiving Local Authority Performance Assessment (LAPA) funding totalling K41,674,500 for 2026/27 development projects under GESD 2.0 and RCRP-2, with Dowa leading at 98% and Mchinji also climbing to unlock over K1.8bn for infrastructure and climate-response work. Environment & Ports: Malawi is moving to revive Chipoka Port by inviting bids for an Environmental and Social Impact Assessment and supervision of capital dredging, aiming to restore safe navigation after years of inactivity. Water Security (Regional): Mozambique, Tanzania and Malawi signed an agreement to establish the Ruvuma River Basin Commission, including shared hydrological data, water-quality monitoring and early warning for droughts and floods. Energy & Clean Power: Government says it is engaging private investors to expand generation and storage, commissioning grid-scale battery energy storage to cut power outages and strengthen the national grid. Biodiversity & Conservation: Malawian conservationist Ian Bartlett (“The Real Crocodile Hunter”) released the book Mpatamanga, sharing 20 years of protecting indigenous trees and wildlife under private stewardship.

Regional Water Governance: Mozambique, Tanzania and Malawi signed an agreement to establish the Ruvuma River Basin Commission, aiming to manage shared water resources with joint data sharing, water-quality monitoring and early warning for droughts and floods. Climate & Resilience Finance: Mchinji District jumped 11 places in Malawi’s Local Authority Performance Assessment, unlocking over K1.8bn in grants under GESD 2.0 and the Regional Climate Resilience Programme to strengthen infrastructure and climate response. Energy Access Push: Government says rural electrification should rise from just over 4% to close to 70% by 2030 through MAREP and the World Bank-funded ASCENT project. Fertiliser Supply & Environment: Dowa’s fertiliser plant by Napoleon Dzombe received approval from MEPA to start operations, with production expected after remaining input materials arrive—key for farm resilience and soil fertility planning. Macroeconomic Pressure (with household impacts): A new Malawi Pressure Index reading of 78 puts the country in “High Pressure,” with inflation still far above RBM’s target band. Health Systems & TB: Community health worker efforts in Phalombe are speeding TB screening and cutting lab result turnaround after delays and expired samples were flagged.

Conservation Spotlight: “The Real Crocodile Hunter” Ian Bartlett released Mpatamanga, sharing 20 years of Malawi environmental conservation at his Mpatamanga Wildlife Ranch—built without government, NGO or corporate backing and credited with recovering indigenous forests and wildlife. Climate & Resilience: The African Union urged stronger preparedness for the projected 2026/27 El Niño, warning of droughts, floods, heatwaves, food insecurity and disease risks. Energy & Environment: Malawi is pushing a rural power revolution—aiming to lift rural electricity access from just over 4% to close to 70% by 2030 under MAREP and ASCENT—while also commissioning utility-scale battery storage to stabilise the grid. Biodiversity & Water: Lake Malawi’s fly larvae survival at extreme depths highlights how aquatic life adapts under low-oxygen, high-pressure conditions. Policy & Accountability: ISD’s climate finance advocacy focuses on community rights and the Green Climate Fund’s Independent Redress Mechanism. Agriculture & Soil: A flood-prone farming project in Nsanje is using banana suckers to help farmers protect livelihoods and improve resilience as floods damage wetland crops.

Climate & Resilience: The African Union urged countries to prepare for the projected 2026/2027 El Niño, warning of droughts, floods, heat-waves, food and water stress, and knock-on economic shocks. Energy & Rural Power: Malawi set an ambitious rural electrification push under MAREP and the World Bank-backed ASCENT, aiming to lift rural access from just over 4% to close to 70% by 2030, with phases progressing and more rollout planned. Conservation & Livelihoods: Youths in Likoma are rolling out fish cage farming on Lake Malawi with support from a conservation foundation, aiming to create jobs and boost local incomes while tying the project to environmental stewardship. Agriculture & Flood Risk: In flood-prone areas of the Shire Valley, farmers are using flood-replenished soils to replant and harvest, turning disaster patterns into food security gains. Environment Governance: ISD is pushing for community participation and access to justice under the Green Climate Fund’s Independent Redress Mechanism, focusing on accountability when climate projects affect people. Biodiversity & Science: Namibia launched a national outlook on indigenous and local knowledge of biodiversity, with Malawi included in the wider initiative.

Energy & Power Access: Malawi’s Energy Minister Jean Mathanga says government is pushing private investment to expand electricity generation and storage, with a new push to lift rural electrification from just over 4% to nearly 70% by 2030 under MAREP and the World Bank-backed ASCENT project. Renewables & Grid Stability: The ministry also commissioned ESCOM’s battery energy storage system, aiming to reduce outages as demand outpaces generation. Climate Accountability: The Institute of Sustainable Development (ISD) is rolling out a civil society advocacy project on the Green Climate Fund’s Independent Redress Mechanism in Balaka, focusing on community participation and access to justice when climate projects harm livelihoods. Fertiliser & Agriculture Resilience: Dowa’s fertiliser push got a boost after MEPA approval for Napoleon Dzombe’s Mtalimanja Holdings plant, with production set to start after remaining works and imported inputs arrive. Biodiversity & Conservation Livelihoods: Youth in Likoma are benefiting from fish cage farming on Lake Malawi, framed as both jobs and conservation support. Food & Soil Adaptation: In flood-prone Shire Valley areas, farmers are using flood-recharged soils and replanting strategies to protect harvests during harsh rainy seasons. Tea Prices: The Tea Association of Malawi says talks to review the green leaf tea price will begin as producers seek higher rates to match rising costs.

Rural Power Push: Malawi’s Energy Ministry targets a rural electrification jump from just over 4% to nearly 70% by 2030, using MAREP and the World Bank-backed ASCENT project, with Phase 9 already 86% complete and Phase 10 procurement underway. Climate Accountability: ISD’s Godfrey Mfiti urges communities to use the Green Climate Fund’s Independent Redress Mechanism to seek compensation, consultation, and environmental rehabilitation when projects harm people or nature. El Niño Preparedness: The African Union warns the 2026/27 El Niño could be the strongest since 1950, bringing droughts, floods, heatwaves, food and water shocks—calling for urgent national and regional readiness. Lake Malawi Biodiversity: New research highlights lake fly larvae diving deep into low-oxygen, high-pressure waters to survive daily—another reminder of how unique Malawi’s ecosystems are. Flood-Resilient Farming: In flood-prone Nsanje, farmers are using banana farming and community support to protect livelihoods and soil fertility as storms and erosion threaten crops. Local Governance Wins: Dowa District Council tops Malawi’s 2025/26 local authority performance assessment, unlocking about MK2.226bn for service delivery and climate resilience projects. Malaria Forecasting Science: A study links ocean temperature patterns to malaria risk in Malawi via soil moisture, pointing to better early-warning tools. Tea Price Talks: Tea growers and processors are set to negotiate a review of the green leaf tea price as costs rise and competitiveness pressures continue.

Biodiversity & Local Knowledge: Namibia launched its first National Outlook on Indigenous and Local Knowledge of Biodiversity, backed by UNESCO and partners, with Malawi included in the wider initiative to strengthen national biodiversity plans. Economic Pressure: Malawi’s new Pressure Index (MPI) shows a high-pressure reading of 78, pointing to rising macro-economic stress amid global uncertainty. Local Governance Funding: Dowa District Council topped Malawi’s 2025/26 Local Assembly Performance Assessment and is set to receive about MK2.226 billion for development, including climate resilience support. Climate Risk & Food Security: Experts warn El Niño could intensify and hit southern and eastern Africa differently—flooding in the east, drought in the south—raising hunger risks. Malaria Forecasting: A new study links ocean temperature patterns to malaria risk in Malawi via soil moisture, opening a path to earlier warning tools. Lake Malawi Livelihoods: Likoma youths are benefiting from fish cage farming, supported by Likoma Conservation Foundation, aiming to create jobs and boost local fish supply. Tea Prices: Malawi’s tea industry is set to start talks to review the green leaf price as production costs rise. Anti-Trafficking Online Scams: Malawi warns traffickers are increasingly using social media and fake job offers to lure victims, urging stronger public awareness and coordinated action. World Bank Grants: Parliament approved US$130m (K229bn) for local service delivery and export value chains, with calls for transparency and reduced bureaucracy. GCF Grievances: ISD urges communities to use the Independent Redress Mechanism to report harms from Green Climate Fund projects.

Rare Earths Watch: Lindian Resources says it has hit mining-readiness milestones at the Kangankunde Rare Earths Project in Malawi, with mining operations starting after a July 1 blast and first concentrate production still targeted for Q4 2026. Conservation & Wildlife: A new Liwonde National Park feature highlights how African Parks’ management since 2015 is helping wildlife recover after years of poaching and human-wildlife conflict. Menstrual Health in Dowa: CDF Canada, funded by the Peter Gilgan Foundation, will run a two-year menstrual health and economic empowerment project in Dowa, targeting women-led cooperatives and schools to cut period poverty and boost girls’ attendance. Climate Accountability: Malawi’s Institute of Sustainable Development urges communities to use the Green Climate Fund’s Independent Redress Mechanism to report harm from climate projects. Malawi’s Forex Pressure: Parliament approved US$130m in IDA grants for local governance and export value chains, but MPs stress money won’t fix forex without cutting bureaucracy. Carbon Tax Shift: MRA warns vehicle importers that higher carbon tax rates tied to engine size will raise costs for high-emission imports. Malaria Forecasting: A study links distant ocean temperature patterns to malaria risk in Malawi via soil moisture, pointing to better early-warning tools. Human Trafficking Online Scams: Government warns traffickers are increasingly using social media, fake job offers and online relationships to lure victims.

World Bank Grants & Governance: Parliament approved US$130m (K229bn) in IDA grants—US$80m for GESD and US$50m for export value chains—aimed at better local service delivery and boosting exports, but MP Peter Dimba warned money won’t fix Malawi’s forex crisis without cutting bureaucracy. Power & Climate Resilience: ESCOM commissioned a 20MW/40MWh utility-scale battery storage system in Lilongwe to stabilise the grid, reduce blackouts and help manage hydropower risks as Malawi targets wider electricity access. Carbon Tax & Cleaner Imports: Malawi Revenue Authority urged vehicle importers to adjust to higher carbon tax rates on foreign-registered cars, pushing buyers away from high-emission engines. Food Security Tech: AfricaRice and AATF signed a five-year pact to raise rice productivity and strengthen seed-to-market support for smallholders, including in Malawi. Malaria Forecasting Science: A study links distant ocean temperatures to Malawi malaria risk via soil moisture, pointing to a possible early-warning approach. Biodiversity Under Pressure: A report highlights frogs facing extinction from chytrid fungus, pollution and habitat loss—another reminder that climate and land-use change hit wildlife hard. Human Trafficking Watch: Talitha Kum said it reached 1.21m people in 2025 and expanded into Malawi, as advocates warn Malawians seeking jobs abroad remain vulnerable to exploitation. Youth & Innovation: Labour Minister Joel Chigona urged private investment in youth-led solutions tied to climate and environmental stewardship under the MW2063 agenda.

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